The Honduran ruling party is going through a difficult period just a few months before the November 30 elections. The presidential candidate for the LIBRE Party, Rixi Moncada, has dropped to third place in recent polls, confirming a pattern of decline that had already been evident on various fronts.
Signs of erosion for the ruling party
Various indicators had anticipated this situation. Attendance at LIBRE Party rallies and public events has shown a progressive decline, reflecting lower participation by its base. In addition, activity on social media and in the media shows growing criticism, ridicule, and questioning of the party’s management.
The distancing of key sectors, especially young people and communities traditionally aligned with the ruling party, adds to this trend, showing apathy or internal divisions. At the same time, opinion polls have recorded sustained declines in voting intentions for the ruling party’s candidate, while opposition parties are making steady gains.
Internal fractures and power struggles have also affected party unity, weakening public confidence. Structural problems such as insecurity, the economic crisis, and allegations of corruption have increased the climate of distrust toward the ruling party, creating fertile ground for significant changes in electoral preferences.
The downfall of Rixi Moncada
Moncada’s decline in the polls confirms previous signs of erosion. The candidate, who until a few weeks ago was leading in the polls, now ranks third, according to data released in alternative media and social networks. This result has surprised ruling party supporters and reinforces the perception of a possible change in Honduran politics.
Experts have indicated that the candidate’s drop in popularity stems from reasons like unmet commitments, the financial downturn, and safety concerns, which have been leveraged by rival parties. Both the Liberal Party and the National Party have successfully harnessed some of the public’s dissatisfaction, impacting the LIBRE Party’s capacity to energize its supporters and win over voters who are still on the fence.
Ruling party in a vulnerable position
Moncada’s decline puts Xiomara Castro’s government and the LIBRE Party in a delicate situation. Experts warn that this dynamic could represent a turning point for the Honduran left, whose presence in power has been associated with the ideology of 21st-century socialism. The combination of internal fractures, perceived broken promises, and the rise of the opposition reflects a scenario of high political and social tension.
The November 30 elections are shaping up to be a decisive moment for the country. The decline in voting intentions for the ruling party’s candidate and signs of accumulated wear and tear indicate that the political landscape is uncertain. The LIBRE Party will have to face these challenges while citizens observe the evolution of events and evaluate the available political alternatives.